Economy

Our coverage of global economics, from inflation-fighting central banks to apprehensive financial markets

The US economy

Illustration of scissors cutting a Tax paper in half. The scissors are red and the paper is blue.

The US tax code will change next year; the presidential election will determine how

Donald Trump promises cuts galore, while Kamala Harris would target the middle-class

Illustration of a blue boat with containers on it, sailing a red sea.

What America’s presidential election means for world trade

The first in a series of eight concise briefs on the consequences of the 2024 election


Illustration of an arm barrier with a booth next to it, the booth is a claw machine which has shipping containers inside that are being lifted over a fence

How America learned to love tariffs

Protectionism hasn’t been this respectable for decades


Why the Federal Reserve is split on the future of interest rates

Jerome Powell began with a big cut. What comes next?

A Wall Street state of mind has captured America

Downtown New York is quieter than ever. Finance has never been louder

What is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure?

The PCE gauge is broader and more dynamic than its better-known relative, the CPI

Why the Federal Reserve has gambled on a big interest-rate cut



China’s economy

A local Chinese resident pushes a baby stroller along a lake in front of a cluster of residential apartment buildings in Changsha city.

China’s property crisis claims more victims: companies

Unsold homes are contributing to a balance-sheet recession

An electronic ticker displays stock figures in Shanghai, China, on August 7th 2024

Don’t celebrate China’s stimulus just yet

It will take more than a spectacular stockmarket rally to revive the economy



Anger abounds as China raises its strikingly low retirement age

Old people will have to toil a little longer, assuming they can keep their jobs

China’s government is surprisingly redistributive

That is despite a stingy tax-and-transfer system



Russia’s economy

How Vladimir Putin hopes to transform Russian trade

He believes the country’s future lies with China and India. What could go wrong?


How Vladimir Putin created a housing bubble

Prices have risen by 172% in Russia’s biggest cities over the past three years


Russia’s gas business will never recover from the war in Ukraine

Hopes of a Chinese rescue look increasingly vain

Frozen Russian assets will soon pay for Ukraine’s war

And America now hopes to convince others to make better use of the stash



Asia’s economies

This illustration shows a Chinese dragon with circuit-like patterns confronting a microchip featuring the U.S. flag

The front line of the tech war is in Asia

The two superpowers are vying for influence. China will not necessarily win

An Indian fruit seller offers guava on a motorcycle in the Hazratganj shopping area in Lucknow

Is India’s economy slowing down?

New data highlight old problems


A Swiggy delivery agent

India’s consumers are changing how they buy

A giant population turns to deliveries


Can Japan’s zombie bond market be brought back to life?

Ueda Kazuo begins on a dangerous mission



Europe’s economies

FRANCE-TRADITION-LEISURE-TOURISM

How bond investors soured on France

They now regard the euro zone’s second-largest economy as riskier than Spain

Black and grey two tone portraits of a worried looking Emmanuel Macron and Michel Barnier. Behind them a red graph line goes up and a black graph line goes downward then levels off.

France stares into a “colossal” budgetary abyss

A fragile new government must try to plug the hole. Fast


Ingots of aluminium ready for export from the Mozal plant.

Europe’s green trade restrictions are infuriating poor countries

Only the poorest can expect help to cushion the blow


Turkey’s long hard struggle with inflation

High interest rates are starting to do the trick



Data

Three charts show that America’s imports are booming

Here’s why that could spell trouble

A pedestrian carries a McDonald's bag in San Francisco, California,

The Big Mac index: where to buy a cheap hamburger

Meat-eaters may want to avoid Argentina


The world’s richest countries in 2024

Our annual ranking compares economies in three different ways


The economics of American lotteries

Our analysis shows poorer citizens spend a staggering amount on tickets



Latest coverage

Finance & economics

An economics Nobel for work on why nations succeed and fail

Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson tackled the most important question of all

Finance & economics

Why investors should still avoid Chinese stocks

The debate about “uninvestibility” obscures something important

Europe

Turkey’s long hard struggle with inflation

High interest rates are starting to do the trick

Finance & economics

Europe’s green trade restrictions are infuriating poor countries

Only the poorest can expect help to cushion the blow

Finance & economics

Why have markets grown more captivated by data releases?

Especially when the quality of statistics is deteriorating

Finance & economics

Can the world’s most influential business index be fixed?

Two cheers for the World Bank’s new global business survey

Leaders

How high could the oil price go?

Geopolitical risk is rising. But so is the supply of oil

Asia

Is India’s economy slowing down?

New data highlight old problems

Europe

France stares into a “colossal” budgetary abyss

A fragile new government must try to plug the hole. Fast

Business

Can Israel’s mighty tech industry withstand a wider war?

Its resilience is being tested

United States

What America’s presidential election means for world trade

The first in a series of eight concise briefs on the consequences of the 2024 election

Finance & economics

How bond investors soured on France

They now regard the euro zone’s second-largest economy as riskier than Spain

Britain

Gigafactories and dashed dreams: the parable of Blyth

What one port town says about the British economy

Culture

The best new books to read about finance

The joys that can come from good writing about the dismal science

Briefing

The bloodshed in the Middle East is fast expanding

Israel seems certain to retaliate to Iran’s missile attack

Finance & economics

Can Andrea Orcel, Europe’s star banker, create a super-bank?

An interview with the boss of UniCredit

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