United States | Policy brief

What America’s presidential election means for world trade

The first in a series of eight concise briefs on the consequences of the 2024 election

Illustration of a blue boat with containers on it, sailing a red sea.
Illustration: Ben Hickey
|WASHINGTON, DC

In the 1990s presidential hopefuls fought over how much America should open itself up to commerce with other countries. Nowadays, the trade debate revolves around how much America should close itself off. Donald Trump is the more radical of the two candidates, with a vision for tariffs that would turn the clock back nearly a century on economic strategy. Kamala Harris is less extreme but still sees a world in which America is best served by soft protectionism, featuring subsidies for favoured industries.

Explore more

This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Tariffic ”

From the October 12th 2024 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

Former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, speaks to the press after the Maryland Senate debate in Maryland.

Why Larry Hogan’s long-odds bid for a Senate seat matters

He offers conservatives a pragmatic path beyond Trumpism

Democratic suppporters at the campaign trail for Vice President Harris, Pittsburgh, USA.

Polarisation by education is remaking American politics

The battle for Pennsylvania is a test case for new coalitions of Democrats and Republicans



Hurricane Milton inundates Florida

Three factors laid the ground for its destructiveness

Shirley Chisholm is still winning

The first black woman to run for president taught a lesson in making political change

US election forecast: who will control the House of Representatives?

Our prediction model assesses each party’s chance of winning the chamber